As information is added to the site, this page will list the significant additions and changes for returning visitors to quickly identify the new information. New developments are expected to be included periodically. Suggestions for new or expanded research initiatives are welcomed at: Info[at]CrestmontResearch.com, or via the Contact Form.
Updates and new additions will generally be posted quarterly, except following year-end when annual updates are posted monthly in sets during the first quarter.
Suggestions Welcome
at Info[at]CrestmontResearch.com
Note
The Crestmont Research website has undergone a series of upgrades. Financial Physics has been incorporated into the Stock Market tab as a separate section. In addition, the hedge fund field is no longer a core area of research and has been discontinued.
Please let us know if you find a broken or misdirected link, typos, issues with the site, or suggestions for enhancements.
Stock Market
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Through | Last
Update |
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| | Featured Items | | |
| NEW! | The CPI Report: Anticipate the 4Q24 Surge and 1Q25 Fall | | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Outlook: How Crestmont Research Forecasts | | |
| PONDERABLE | The Big Shift: A Secular Realignment of Profits and P/E | | |
| | Secular Stock Market Cycles | | |
| Understanding Secular Stock Market Cycles | | |
| Outlook: How Crestmont Research Forecasts | | |
| Are We There Yet? Secular Stock Market Cycle Status | | |
| Stock Market Matrix | Dec 2023 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Secular Cycles Explained | Dec 2022 | Jan 10, 2023 |
| Secular Cycles | Dec 2022 | Jan 19, 2023 |
| Secular Cycle Dashboard | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| This Secular Bear…So Far | Dec 2022 | Jan 10, 2023 |
| Secular Bear Example | | |
| Living Through the Last Secular Bear | | |
| Deja Vu | | |
| | Long-Term Returns | | |
| Where Did It Come From: Is the Trend Your Friend? | | |
| Components of Return | Dec 2023 | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Waiting for Average | | Apr 5, 2016 |
| Groundhog Decade for Stocks | | |
| Generation Returns | Dec 2023 | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Distorted Averages | Dec 2023 | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Gazing at the Future | Dec 2023 | Jan 9, 2023 |
| Stock Market Yo-Yo | Dec 2023 | Jan 9, 2023 |
| Must Be Present to Win (Or Lose?) | | |
| Shiller Shortfall | | |
| | Financial Physics | | |
| Crestmont’s Research: Putting It Together | Dec 2023 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Financial Physics | Dec 2023 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Dissecting Returns | | |
| | P/E Ratio | | |
| Secular Stock Market P/E | Dec 2022 | Jan 10, 2023 |
| UPDATED | The P/E Summary (Quarterly) | Sep 2024 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| The P/E Report (Annual) | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| The Truth About P/Es | | |
| P/E: Forward Operating Averages 12 | Dec 2023 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Nightmare on Wall Street | 2016 | Feb 5, 2017 |
| P/E Ratios & Inflation | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| P/E Ratio vs. Dividend Yield | Dec 2023 | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Natural Pinnacle to P/Es | | |
| | Earnings & Economy | | |
| UPDATED | Earnings Trends: History & Future | Sep 2024 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Converging on the Horizon | 2015 | Feb 8, 2016 |
| EPS Reality | Dec 2023 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| It’s Not the Economy | Dec 2023 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Beyond The Horizon: Redux 2011 | | |
| Back to the Horizon | | Dec 2008 |
| Beyond the Horizon | | |
| Siegel’s Shortfall | Dec 2020 | Apr 6, 2020 |
| | Market Volatility | | |
| UPDATED | Stock Market Volatility: An Erratic Cycle | Sep 2024 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Significant Swings | Dec 2022 | Jan 10, 2023 |
| Stock Market Returns & Volatility | Dec 2023 | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Volatility in Perspective | Dec 2023 | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Calm Before the Storm | | |
| A Minsky Review | | |
| | Investment Implications | | |
| PONDERABLE | The Big Shift: A Secular Realignment of Profits and P/E | | |
| Serious Implications: Forecast Skew Over the Next Decade | | |
| FAVORITE | Reconciliation Principle: Returns & Forecasts Must Add Up | | |
| Exit from Wonderland | | |
| Half & Half: Why Rowing Works | Dec 2023 | Jan 9, 2024 |
| The Impact of Losses | | |
| Game Changer | | Apr 5, 2013 |
| Row, Not Sail | | |
| Portfolio Mismanagement | | |
| Markowitz Misunderstood | | |
| Destitute at 80: Retiring in Secular Cycles | | |
| Rowing vs. the Roller Coaster | | |
| Looming Crisis | | |
| Up & Down Capture Graph | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| Up & Down Capture | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| Impact of Rebalancing | | |
Interest Rates
| | | Updated
Through | Last
Update |
|---|
| | Interest Rate History | | |
| UPDATED | Bond Yields: Reasonable Expectations | Sep 2024 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| The Yield Curve, the Fed, & P/Es | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| The 6/50 Rule | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| The 10-Year Treasury Note | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| Interest Rates & Inflation | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| Dynamic History | 2017 | Feb 3, 2017 |
| | Investment Implications | | |
| Ladder in a Bear | 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| Climb the Ladder | Dec 2023 | Jan 22, 2024 |
| Surfing the Roll | | |
| | Other | | |
| Grossly Misunderstood Debt | | |
